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2025 is complete … here’s the data

I haven’t presented my complete market dashboard for a while, but final data for December is available now and I want to share the results for the year in context with the rest of this very long market cycle. This chart shows the extreme changes in our supply-and-demand picture in 2025, with the number of … Continue reading

Gridlock in the housing market

I have written frequently over the past several months about the challenging market environment for residential real estate. I have generally focused on Central Texas, and sometimes contrasted our situation to conditions across the U.S. Today I received the Winter 2025 issue of Worthwhile magazine from Raymond James, and found this relevant article: That article … Continue reading

Another market signal

Earlier this week, I posted Sales Growth in 2025? U.S. vs Austin metro, with links to articles showing differences in the national residential market and contradictory signs in the Austin area. One of those links indicated caution among home builders nationally (US Housing Market Isn’t Out of the Woods Yet). Today, I see another article from … Continue reading

Sales Growth in 2025? U.S. vs Austin metro

I have written several times in recent months about the uncertain environment we’ve seen in Austin-area residential real estate. Now, early in the new year, I want to highlight a few headlines that amplify that confusing situation. First, this article summarizes year-end sales results across the United States and in large, multi-state regions: Lower Mortgage … Continue reading

2025 Home Resale Trends: Builders vs. Resale Market Insights

In 2025 Resale Results I discussed resale home prices during the past ten years, with a focus on the frantic market environment we experienced in 2022 and 2023. In this post I’ll add a look at home builders’ participation during that time, and the changing market conditions before and after. First, the blue line in … Continue reading

2025 Resale Results

In Happy New Year — a look back I shared an article that summarized our experience in Austin-area residential real estate last year. Final data from the Texas Real Estate Research Center will be available in a couple of weeks, but using our MLS system we can look more closely at activity involving existing (resale) … Continue reading

Happy New Year — a look back

Happy New Year!  I trust your resolutions are in order and that you’re off to a great start today. I’ll have more to say about last year when final data is available for December market activity, but for today I’ll share a recent article from the Austin American-Statesman:  ‘Meh’: Austin’s housing market cooled in 2025, … Continue reading

Merry Christmas!

Looking for Change

I have written extensively in recent months about the difficult market conditions we’re facing in Austin-area residential real estate in 2025. (See Austin Real Estate 2025: Market Shift Explained and Fall 2025: A Shift to Buyer-Friendly Real Estate) All of this very long market cycle, which began in 2013, has been characterized by very low … Continue reading

Fall 2025: A Shift to Buyer-Friendly Real Estate

A few days ago, REALTOR® Magazine published Could a Real Estate Sales Shift Be Ahead This Fall?, suggesting that after a “lackluster summer … the fall season could breathe new life into the housing market.” The article continues, “A recent housing report suggests more listings, lower prices and less competition could be coming this fall, … Continue reading

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